If the press headlines are to be believed, the UK residential housing market is in a state of terminal decline, with house prices plummeting and repossessions soaring - despite the fact that average prices are still higher than this time last year. And although the number of homes being repossessed does unfortunately seem to be rising, this is from an unusually low base last year, when there were even fewer repossessions than had been predicted.
Even for seasoned analysts, the plethora of statistics based on real data can also be a source of confusion, due to the many different ways that such information can be presented. For example, are the figures based on the asking prices of property being offered for sale today, or the actual sale prices that are recorded by the Land Registry, where the sales were probably agreed up to six months ago? To make it even more complicated, some authorities give you the figures straight, whereas others adjust the figures using sophisticated statistical techniques so as to take account of seasonal variations. Further details can be found on our
House Price Indexes page.
What tends to happen in times of uncertainty is that people sit tight and do nothing, waiting to see what happens next. This has the effect of reducing the number of properties coming onto the market, which means there is less choice for buyers and therefore no reason to move home. This can easily lead to a spiralling decline, where a falling property market becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. The way out of this is simply for more of us to put our houses on the market, at sensible prices, in order to stimulate demand and get things moving.
Well, the Moving Location Index towns league table for January shows that buyers have been especially active in Plymouth, Bath and Bournemouth. These are of course locations especially favoured by those of thinking of retiring or buying second homes, but also attract buy-to-let investors because of the demand for student rental accommodation. Although the number of enquiries is not as great at this time last year, there has still been a surge in enquiries compared with December.
Note for Editors about the Moving Location Index and UK Property Shop
The UK Property Shop Moving Location Index is based on data from a sample of people looking to buy a property and using the website to
register their property search requirements with estate agents in each town. From this data a score is calculated according to the number who
are considering either moving within the town where they live, or away from their home town and into another town. The Moving
Location Index is not a measure of quality, simply an indication of the relative proportion of home buyers wishing to move into or out of a
town, which is influenced by many factors.
The UK Property Shop website www.ukpropertyshop.co.uk was launched in 1999 and is a popular source of information for people looking to buy,
sell, rent or let residential property in the UK. It also publishes the National Directory of Estate Agents, the most complete and up to date
register of all UK estate agents and letting agents.